Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
