Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
