Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.
