Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
