Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.