Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
