Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 34.95%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (13.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.
