Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
