Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.37%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
