Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
