Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Ponferradina.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
