Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Stenhousemuir2 - 1Dumbarton
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: QotS 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Dumbarton 3-1 Annan
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
43.51% ( -2.43) | 24.45% ( 0.25) | 32.04% ( 2.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
