Scottish League One | Gameweek 36

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
2 - 1
Dumbarton

Aitken (9'), Alston (60')
Meechan (19'), McLuckie (90+4'), Aitken (90+5'), Anderson (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Shiels (57')
Niang (45'), Mumbongo (85'), Shiels (85')

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Last Game: QotS 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Dumbarton 3-1 Annan
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Dumbarton
43.51% ( -2.43)	24.45% ( 0.25)	32.04% ( 2.18)

Both teams to score 58.58% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.89% (

-0.13)

44.1% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.51% (

-0.13)

66.48% (

0.13)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

-1.1)

20.39% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18% (

-1.78)

52.82% (

1.78)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

1.35)

26.41% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42% (

1.76)

61.57% (

-1.76)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 43.52%

Dumbarton 32.04%

Draw 24.44%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 43.52%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.04%