Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
