Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.