Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.