Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.