Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.