Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.