Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nizhny Novgorod in this match.