Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Markhiya win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Markhiya win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.