Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk
Antalyaspor have a lot of belief at the moment, which can be seen in their recent results. The Scorpions also have a good home record this season, only losing to league leaders Fenerbahce. Karagumruk are also in a good moment, but their away form has been poor, picking up only five points from a possible 18. They also tend to struggle against Antalyaspor, failing to beat the hosts since 2021. We expect a close game; however, Antalyaspor have the quality to edge it out in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
59.05% ( 0.2) | 22.63% ( -0.06) | 18.32% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
