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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 9, 2023 at 12pm UK
Moi Stadium
Man City Women
2 - 1
Aston Villa
Hemp (61', 65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Turner (7')
Corsie (30'), Mayling (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 7-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton Ladies
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women

Although Aston Villa have won four of their last five competitive matches, we think that they will fall short against a Man City side that has lost just one of their 23 home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw has a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women has a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.72%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it is 1-2 (4.31%).

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
66.67% (0.085000000000008 0.09) 17.74% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 15.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.44% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.13% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.86% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.77% (0.278 0.28)52.22% (-0.279 -0.28)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (0.081999999999994 0.08)8.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.25% (0.19799999999999 0.2)29.75% (-0.199 -0.2)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (0.11699999999999 0.12)32.76% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.67% (0.131 0.13)69.33% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 66.67%
    Aston Villa Women 15.59%
    Draw 17.74%
Manchester City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.48% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.08% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 66.67%
1-1 @ 7.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 15.59%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Aston Villa

Manchester City Women
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Aston Villa Women
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Aston Villa
2-1
Man City Women
Corsie (20'), Daly (97')
Jan 21, 2023 11.30am
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-3
Man City Women
Lehmann (22'), Daly (32', 76'), Dali (58')
Coombs (45+1', 55'), Shaw (53')
Jan 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
0-3
Man City Women
Stanway (5', 75'), Losada (41')
Greenwood (58')
Nov 20, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 8
Man City Women
5-0
Aston Villa
Weir (48'), Stanway (51'), Raso (77', 81'), Hemp (78')
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