Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Brest |
40.63% (![]() | 27.6% (![]() | 31.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.73% (![]() | 57.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.89% (![]() | 78.11% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% (![]() | 27.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% (![]() | 63.2% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% (![]() | 33.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% (![]() | 69.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 11.79% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |