Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Brest |
| 40.63% ( | 27.6% ( | 31.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.73% ( | 57.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.89% ( | 78.11% ( |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( | 27.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.8% ( | 63.2% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( | 33.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.21% ( | 69.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
