

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
| 51.6% ( | 23% ( | 25.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( | 41.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( | 64.08% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( | 16.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.25% ( | 45.76% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( | 29.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.14% ( | 65.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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