Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Sporting Cristal

Palmeiras
6 - 0
Cristal

Willian (32', 32'), Manuel Lopez (39', 39', 45+2', 45+2'), Veiga (64', 64'), Paulinho (71', 71'), Torres (80', 80')
Manuel Lopez (39'), Manuel Lopez (39'), Andrade Elias (78'), Andrade Elias (78')
FT(HT: 6-0)

Tavara (49'), Tavara (49'), Jesus Posito Olazabal (69'), Jesus Posito Olazabal (69'), Jair Cabellos Vazquez (78'), Jair Cabellos Vazquez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Last Game: Cristal 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawSporting Cristal
70.97% (-0.157 -0.16)17.39% (0.161 0.16)11.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (-0.804 -0.8)39.01% (0.80399999999999 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (-0.848 -0.85)61.33% (0.849 0.85)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.23% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)9.77% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.5% (-0.581 -0.58)32.5% (0.58 0.58)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.22% (-0.541 -0.54)43.78% (0.542 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.06% (-0.45 -0.45)79.94% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 70.96%
    Sporting Cristal 11.63%
    Draw 17.39%
PalmeirasDrawSporting Cristal
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.267 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.97% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.065 -0.07)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 70.96%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.39%
0-1 @ 3.53% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.63%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Cristal

Palmeiras
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sporting Cristal
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Cristal
2-3
Palmeiras
Pretell (67'), Tavara (83')
Pretell (12'), Sosa (45'), Cabellos (75')
Willian (38'), Piquerez (82' pen.), Rios (90+2')
Roque (45+1'), Martinez (57'), Fuchs (61')