Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 75.21%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.