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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Glenavon
2 - 1
Carrick
Prendergast (63'), Malone (81' pen.)
Wallace (45'), Snoddy (82'), Garrett (83'), Prendergast (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Purkis (75')
Crowe (12'), Watson (24'), Surgenor (80'), Glendinning (82')
Cherry (16')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
67.56% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 18.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)62.07% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.14% (0.021999999999991 0.02)34.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)77.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 67.56%
    Carrick Rangers 13.75%
    Draw 18.69%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 10.94%
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.3%
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 13.75%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
1-3
Glenavon
Macuilaitis (62')
Doyle (32'), Fitzpatrick (50'), Henderson (90+4')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carrick
1-1
Glenavon
Birney (70' og.)
Wallace (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Glenavon
4-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (13'), Bradley (28'), Malone (82'), Snoddy (90+1')
Mitchell (15'), Anderson (49')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
2-2
Carrick
Fitzpatrick (10'), McCloskey (23')
(11'), (50')
Garrett (59')
Mitchell (18'), Allen (64')
Ervin (55'), Cushley (66')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carrick
0-1
Glenavon

Surgenor (31'), Cushley (41'), Carson (81'), Glendinning (90')
O'Connor (88')
Wallace (47'), Campbell (90')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield25202358263262
2LarneLarne25177150163458
3CliftonvilleCliftonville24173455154054
4GlentoranGlentoran24125747242341
5CrusadersCrusaders25125843281541
6GlenavonGlenavon2592143043-1329
7ColeraineColeraine2585123249-1729
8Loughgall2584133949-1028
9Carrick RangersCarrick2583143054-2427
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2566134351-824
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena2553171745-2818
12Newry City AFC2533191862-4412

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