St Louis City
Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg
Jun 14, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
CityPark
LA Galaxy

St Louis City
vs.
LA Galaxy

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 31 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Portland vs. St Louis City
Monday, June 9 at 12am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy has a probability of 31.1% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win is 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result
St Louis CityDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
44.6% (2.056 2.06)24.3% (-0.149 -0.15)31.1% (-1.905 -1.91)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)43.83% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)66.22% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.89399999999999 0.89)19.81% (-0.89 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (1.422 1.42)51.88% (-1.42 -1.42)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-1.204 -1.2)26.87% (1.207 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-1.61 -1.61)62.18% (1.614 1.61)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 44.6%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 31.1%
    Draw 24.3%
St Louis CityDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.205 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.242 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.6%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.1%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2025 11pm
LA Galaxy
0-3
St Louis City

Cerrillo (33')
Teuchert (44'), Hartel (49'), Becher (84')
Horn (51'), Yaro (72')
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
St Louis City
2-1
LA Galaxy
Teuchert (9'), Hartel (68')
Teuchert (38'), Horn (53'), Durkin (74'), Klauss (81')
Pec (46')
Paintsil (90+3')
Mar 17, 2024 2.30am
LA Galaxy
3-3
St Louis City
Joveljic (3'), Paintsil (51'), Yoshida (90+5')
Caceres (35'), Paintsil (45+1'), Puig (65')
Caceres (90+9')
Ostrak (27'), Nilsson (60'), McCarthy (88' og.)
Totland (25'), Jackson (51'), Nilsson (70'), Adeniran (83')
Sep 11, 2023 1am
LA Galaxy
2-2
St Louis City
Puig (53' pen.), Sharp (82')
Mavinga (50'), Cuevas (90+3'), Cuevas (90+2')
Adeniran (4'), Klauss (28')
Nilsson (22'), Adeniran (52'), Markanich (82'), Hiebert (85')
Adeniran (60')
Jun 11, 2023 6pm
St Louis City
1-1
LA Galaxy
Gioacchini (68')
Lowen (8'), Blom (40'), Alm (45+4'), Ostrak (83')
Aguirre (85')
Brugman (52'), Neal (54')