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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Montpellier

Toulouse
1 - 2
Montpellier

Casseres Jr (59')
Canvot (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sagnan (62'), Maamma (83')
Nzingoula (17'), Chotard (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Toulouse
Saturday, January 18 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-1 Monaco
Friday, January 17 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
54.66% (-0.796 -0.8)24.4% (0.343 0.34)20.94% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.815 -0.82)52.24% (0.817 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.705 -0.7)73.94% (0.708 0.71)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.611 -0.61)19.03% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (-1.024 -1.02)50.6% (1.026 1.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 54.64%
    Montpellier HSC 20.94%
    Draw 24.4%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.241 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.225 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0079999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 20.94%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Montpellier

Toulouse
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Montpellier HSC
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse

Nordin (45+2')
Savanier (51')
Aboukhlal (5', 8'), King (27')
Casseres Jr (59'), McKenzie (66')
> Preview
May 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 32
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Dallinga (34')
Nicolaisen (54'), Diarra (60')
Nicolaisen (83')
Savanier (27'), Fayad (81')
Savanier (26'), Leroy (44'), Karamoh (90+5'), Fayad (90+6')
Savanier (65')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Wahi (88')
Dallinga (31'), Chaibi (85')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
Spierings (18'), Aboukhlal (24'), Chaibi (31'), Dejaegere (48')
Cozza (7'), Wahi (68')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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