Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.