Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.15) 
