Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.
