Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
