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San Jose Earthquakes
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 1, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
LA Galaxy

Earthquakes
1 - 2
LA Galaxy

Ebobisse (75')
Espinoza (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fagundez (41'), Berry (89')
Nelson (60'), Yoshida (82'), Yamane (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Leagues Cup clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-2 Portland
Sunday, July 21 at 3.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

There are too many weapons for the Quakes to contain in this one, so we believe it will only be a matter of time before the Galaxy break through and take control of this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
36.33% (-0.311 -0.31) 23.14% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 40.54% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 64.67% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (0.033000000000001 0.03)36.67% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)58.82% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)20.55% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.22 -0.22)53.06% (0.223 0.22)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (0.15899999999999 0.16)18.6% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (0.262 0.26)49.89% (-0.258 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 36.33%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 40.54%
    Draw 23.13%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.8% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.8% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 40.54%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy

San Jose Earthquakes
16.7%
Draw
6.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
76.7%
30
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-3
LA Galaxy

Rodrigues (45+3')
Paintsil (37'), Joveljic (72'), Cuevas (90+2')
Delgado (22'), Cerrillo (29'), Neal (39'), McCarthy (75')
Apr 22, 2024 1.15am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Earthquakes
Pec (14'), Paintsil (24' pen.), Yoshida (30'), Puig (56')
Paintsil (7'), Vanney (8'), Puig (72')
Zavaleta (70')
Rodrigues (32'), Kikanovic (58'), Ebobisse (72' pen.)
Espinoza (45'), Gruezo (54'), Costa (65'), Skahan (76')
Mar 3, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-3
LA Galaxy
Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
LA Galaxy
Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')
Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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