Major League Soccer

Jul 5, 2024 at 3.40am UK

Rose Bowl

LA Galaxy
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Pec (56')
Cerrillo (22'), Puig (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kamara (40'), Bouanga (44' pen.)
Tillman (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 Los Angeles FC

Traditionally, these encounters are full of tension and goals, and we expect the same on Thursday in front of what should be a huge crowd in Pasadena. Defensive structure tends to be forgotten when these rivals take to the field, and we expect to see a plethora of scoring opportunities for each, though we do not believe either will do enough to earn three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%).

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
39.56% ( 1.56)	23.08% ( -0.15)	37.36% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 65% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.72% (

0.72)

36.28% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.59% (

0.78)

58.41% (

-0.78)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

1.02)

18.87% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66% (

1.68)

50.34% (

-1.68)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

-0.34)

19.88% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

-0.56)

51.99% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 39.56%

Los Angeles FC 37.36%

Draw 23.08%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.56% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.22% Total : 37.36%