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Elche
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Feb 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico
vs.
Athletic Bilbao
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

This is a tough match for Atletico, and Athletic will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result in Sunday's affair. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw in Madrid, but we just have a feeling that Atletico will have enough quality to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it is 0-1 (8.39%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
49.91% (-1.273 -1.27) 26.36% (0.14 0.14) 23.74% (1.135 1.14)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (0.433 0.43)56.86% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (0.346 0.35)77.78% (-0.345 -0.34)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.378 -0.38)22.86% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (-0.564 -0.56)56.6% (0.565 0.56)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (1.338 1.34)39.51% (-1.337 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (1.221 1.22)76.2% (-1.22 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 49.91%
    Athletic Bilbao 23.74%
    Draw 26.35%
Atletico MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.33% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.254 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 23.74%

Who will win Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico and Athletic Bilbao?

Atletico Madrid
Draw
Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Athletic Bilbao
25.0%
4

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona2118214373656
2Real Madrid21153344172748
3Real Sociedad21133531211042
4Atletico MadridAtletico21115530171338
5Real BetisBetis2110472722534
6Rayo Vallecano219662823533
7Athletic Bilbao219573122932
8Villarreal219482218431
9Osasuna218671919030
10Mallorca218491620-428
11GironaGirona216692731-424
12Sevilla216692329-624
13Real ValladolidValladolid2173111528-1324
14Celta Vigo2165102233-1123
15Almeria2164112534-922
16CadizCadiz215791733-1622
17Espanyol214982633-721
18Valencia2155112626020
19Getafe2147101828-1019
20ElcheElche2116141544-299

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