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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Walsall

AFC Wimbledon
5 - 1
Walsall

Bugiel (9', 34', 52'), Curtis (55'), Faal (62' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hutchinson (25' pen.)
Faal (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Bradford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Walsall

Wimbledon have nothing to lose heading into this encounter, which we believe will enable them to come out a lot more relaxed and get the better of a Walsall side that could be rather tense, given the uphill battle they have to make the playoffs and the fact that they have only earned one away triumph in this competition since the beginning of March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWalsall
53.69% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 23.14% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.16% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.229 0.23)44.57% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (0.221 0.22)66.94% (-0.223 -0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.331 0.33)33.22% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (0.364 0.36)69.83% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.69%
    Walsall 23.16%
    Draw 23.14%
AFC WimbledonDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.69%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall

AFC Wimbledon
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Walsall
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Walsall
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Hutchinson (5'), Johnson (50'), Knowles (90+3')
Towler (21')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Cook (81'), Scarr (93')
Seddon (48')
Hartigan (3'), Oshilaja (15'), Seddon (49')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Walsall
Appiah (87')
Wordsworth (3')
Morris (16'), Nightingale (70' og.), Cook (79')
Cook (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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