Sagan Tosu 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol - J1 League - March 17, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Mar 17, 2021 at 10am UK at Tosu Stadium

Hayashi (29', 64')
Tashiro (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
40.44%	26.67%	32.89%

Both teams to score 51.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56%

53.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04%

74.96%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.98%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54%

30.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32%

66.67%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 40.44%

Kashiwa Reysol 32.89%

Draw 26.66%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.44%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.89%