Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
