Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
