Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
