Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
