Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
