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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Willem II in this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
44.2% | 24.7% | 31.1% |
Both teams to score 57.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.35% | 45.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% | 67.98% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% | 20.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% | 53.36% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% | 27.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% | 63.35% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-1 @ 9.13% 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.79% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |