Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
