Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tacuary win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tacuary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tacuary would win this match.