Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza
6 - 1
Estudiantes
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Estudiantes Merida.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Estudiantes Merida win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
74.63% ( 0.25) | 15.33% ( -0.15) | 10.04% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
