Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.