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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Home Park
Leeds logo

Plymouth
1 - 2
Leeds

Byram (18' og.)
Tijani (44'), Palsson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gnonto (53'), Solomon (90+1')
Piroe (85'), Solomon (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Plymouth
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Bristol City
Monday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.97%) and 0-1 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeeds United
7.86% (0.523 0.52)14.82% (0.701 0.7)77.32% (-1.221 -1.22)
Both teams to score 44.57% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-1.426 -1.43)38.87% (1.43 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (-1.519 -1.52)61.18% (1.522 1.52)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.58% (0.33600000000001 0.34)51.42% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.38% (0.223 0.22)85.62% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.593 -0.59)8.27% (0.596 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.13% (-1.503 -1.5)28.87% (1.507 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 7.86%
    Leeds United 77.3%
    Draw 14.82%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 2.83% (0.212 0.21)
2-1 @ 2.34% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 0.94% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 7.86%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.334 0.33)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 2.92% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 14.82%
0-2 @ 13.2% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 10.97% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 7.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 6.84% (-0.35 -0.35)
1-4 @ 4.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-5 @ 3.41% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2.27% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.42% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-6 @ 0.94% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 77.3%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Leeds

Plymouth Argyle
21.3%
Draw
6.6%
Leeds United
72.1%
61
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Leeds
3-0
Plymouth
James (30'), Piroe (33'), Aaronson (38')
Feb 17, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 33
Plymouth
0-2
Leeds

Randell (38'), Gibson (53')
Gnonto (10'), Rutter (72')
Rodon (88')
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
Plymouth
1-4
Leeds
Galloway (78')
Wright (58'), Phillips (80'), Galloway (105'), Galloway (105+2')
Gnonto (66'), Summerville (97'), Rutter (111'), Hardie (117' og.)
Rodon (70')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Leeds
1-1
Plymouth
Anthony (31')
Anthony (31')
Randell (73')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
James (21'), Piroe (28')
Gruev (90+3')
Waine (84')
Randell (33'), Whittaker (61'), Edwards (66'), Gibson (89')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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