Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
1 - 2
Leeds

Byram (18' og.)
Tijani (44'), Palsson (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gnonto (53'), Solomon (90+1')
Piroe (85'), Solomon (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Plymouth
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Bristol City
Monday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 77.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.97%) and 0-1 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Leeds United
7.86% ( 0.52)	14.82% ( 0.7)	77.32% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 44.57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.13% (

-1.43)

38.87% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.82% (

-1.52)

61.18% (

1.52)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.58% (

0.34)

51.42% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.38% (

0.22)

85.62% (

-0.22)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.74% (

-0.59)

8.27% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.13% (

-1.5)

28.87% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 7.86%

Leeds United 77.3%

Draw 14.82%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 7.86%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.6% Total : 14.82%	0-2 @ 13.2% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 10.97% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 6.84% ( -0.35) 1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 3.41% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.27% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.16) 1-6 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.08% Total : 77.3%