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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Stoke logo

Derby
vs.
Stoke

Coverage of the Championship clash between Derby County and Stoke City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Derby
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 47.21%. A draw has a probability of 27.8% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Stoke City win it is 0-1 (9.46%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
47.21% (-0.495 -0.5) 27.75% (0.109 0.11) 25.03% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 44.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.25% (-0.116 -0.12)60.75% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.2% (-0.087 -0.09)80.8% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (-0.295 -0.3)25.84% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-0.402 -0.4)60.8% (0.4 0.4)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49% (0.29 0.29)40.51% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88% (0.259 0.26)77.11% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.21%
    Stoke City 25.03%
    Draw 27.75%
Derby CountyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 14.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 47.21%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 25.03%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Derby and Stoke?

Derby County
Draw
Stoke City
Derby County
100%
Draw
0.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-1
Derby
Cannon (9' pen.), Gibson (82')
Moran (71'), Stevens (77')
Johansson (68' og.)
Harness (48'), Phillips (54'), Adams (79')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Derby
3-0
Stoke
Nelson (19'), Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (41')
Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
1-2
Derby
Ince (78')
Wilmot (16'), Vrancic (61'), Tymon (71')
Plange (16'), Kazim-Richards (85')
Plange (59')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
2-1
Stoke
Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')
Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
1-0
Derby
Brown (74')
Smith (21')

Cresswell (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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