Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Stoke

Adams (60'), Thompson (79')

Al-Hamadi (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Derby
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
45.34% ( 1.56)	27.6% ( -0.41)	27.06% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 46.02% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.91% (

0.88)

59.09% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.46% (

0.67)

79.54% (

-0.67)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

1.21)

26.01% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.96% (

1.6)

61.04% (

-1.6)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.2% (

-0.46)

37.8% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43% (

-0.45)

74.58% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Derby County 45.34%

Stoke City 27.06%

Draw 27.6%

Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.34%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.06%

How you voted: Derby vs Stoke

Derby County

80.6%

Draw

16.1%

Stoke City

3.2%

Head to Head

Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm

Gameweek 13

Stoke

2-1

Derby

Cannon (9' pen.), Gibson (82')
Moran (71'), Stevens (77')

Johansson (68' og.)
Harness (48'), Phillips (54'), Adams (79')

> Preview

Jul 22, 2023 3pm

Club Friendlies

Derby

3-0

Stoke

Nelson (19'), Collins (26'), Mendez-Laing (41')

Dec 30, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

Stoke

1-2

Derby

Ince (78')
Wilmot (16'), Vrancic (61'), Tymon (71')

Plange (16'), Kazim-Richards (85')
Plange (59')

> Preview

Sep 18, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 8

Derby

2-1

Stoke

Bird (31'), Davies (34')
Shinnie (8'), Sibley (38')

Ince (58')
Sawyers (33'), Skiri Oestigaard (77'), Ince (89')

> Match Report

Mar 20, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 38

Stoke

1-0

Derby

Brown (74')
Smith (21')

Cresswell (88')

Form Guide

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table